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This Week: Silver Showdowns, Copper Picks, and Crushed Bears
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Vizsla Silver vs. Apollo Silver: The Ferrari and the Freight Train
The silver market is finally waking up, but not all equities are built the same. Investors in 2026 are staring at a stark choice between two completely different engineering philosophies.
The Ferrari: Vizsla Silver (NYSE: VZLA | TSX: VZLA). The Panuco project in Mexico is built for speed. With a $1.8B NPV and 111% IRR, it is sleek, fully funded, and racing toward production. You pay a premium for the performance, but the cash flow is right around the corner.
The Freight Train: Apollo Silver Corp. (TSXV: APGO | OTCQB: APGOF). The Calico project in the USA is built for scale. It is a massive industrial resource carrying over 180 million ounces of silver. It takes a little longer to get moving, but once a freight train gains momentum, it is unstoppable.
The Dilemma: Do you want the "Production Beta" of a mine coming online, or the "Option Value" of a giant resource that acts as a leverage multiplier on the silver price?
Update (Jan 29): Our thoughts are with the Vizsla team following the distressing reports out of Sinaloa, a situation that has seen VZLA shares pull back 16% as the market weighs human safety and jurisdiction risk against the project’s high-speed economics.
Why We Told Readers to Watch This Copper Stock in Spring 2025
Is there a better signal in the market than a billionaire entering a micro-cap?
Back in May 2025, we alerted our readers to a quiet transaction: Apeiron Investment Group taking a $1M stake in a little-known explorer called Super Copper Corp. (CSE: CUPR | OTC: CUPPF). The price was $0.25.
On Wednesday, with the stock trading over $1.30, that signal has officially paid off.
But this isn't just about financial backing. On Tuesday, the company confirmed a massive IOCG discovery at their Castilla project, delivering the kind of geology (17% Copper / 53g/t Gold) that majors are desperate for in this supply deficit.
Staring Down the Barrel: Bears Scramble as U.S. Carriers Crush the Oversupply Bet
The Bears Just Woke Up to a Nightmare.
For months, the "short" thesis was easy: the world is awash in oil, inventories are high, and price spikes are temporary. The bears were comfortably hibernating on the idea of significant oversupply.
Today, that hibernation ended abruptly.
As reported by Emma W. Thorne at LinkedIn News, Brent crude didn't just drift higher, it smashed through the psychological $70 barrier. The catalyst? Real-world risk is back.
The "oversupply" bet is currently staring down the barrel of a U.S. naval carrier group. As Ron Bousso at Reuters highlights, this isn't just about Iran's 3.2 million barrels per day; it's about the threat of contagion in a region that exports 20% of the world's supply. Geopolitics has officially trumped geology.
But here is where the bears really missed the signal.
While the commodity traders were focused on inventory sheets, the equity market was already pricing in the turn. Rachel Dashiell, CFP®, CMT® at Charles Schwab spotted the divergence early: Energy stocks (up ~10% YTD) were leading the S&P 500 while crude lagged. That gap was a trap for the bears, a signal that the "smart money" was already positioning for a breakout.
The oversupply narrative didn't just fade away today; it got crushed by reality.
Resource Wars 2026: Copper Joins Gold and Silver in Record Surge
The defining trade of 2026 isn’t a tech stock, it’s the wiring inside the tech.
While S&P Global forecasts a daunting 10-million-ton shortfall by 2040, the immediate price of $6.50/lb is raising eyebrows. Natalie Scott-Gray at StoneX Group Inc. argues the positioning is "overdone" and disconnected from physical realities.
The tension is palpable:
🔹 Bull Case: Peter Schmitz at Wood Mackenzie and Greg Shearer at J.P. Morgan point to inelastic demand from data centers and the AI boom as a driving force.
🔹 Bear Case: Tom Price at Panmure Liberum notes that unlike steel, copper is being overwhelmed by speculative flows, while Jonathan Brandt at HSBC sees a supercycle that may still face short-term corrections.
Meanwhile, major producers like Freeport-McMoRan, Ivanhoe Mines, and CMOC are navigating a chaotic landscape of natural disasters and aggressive output targets.
Even Jefferies analysts note that miners are pricing their own models at $5.49, a dollar below the spot price.
Is the market right, or are the miners?
We want your feedback on this week’s market insights! How’d we perform? 📈📉Let us know where we stand! 🚀 |
