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The Pentagon’s Geopolitical Shopping List, EU Antimony, & Oil Markets
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Surf, Turf, and Earth: The Pentagon’s Geopolitical Grocery List
The Pentagon’s September Shopping List:
Ribeye Steaks: $15.1M
Lobster Tails: $6.9M
Alaskan King Crab: $2.0M
Apple & Samsung Gear: $9.3M
IT & Comms Infrastructure: $6.0B+
Critical Minerals: The ultimate national security chokepoint
Stop looking at the Pentagon's lobster receipts.
Look at the raw materials required to power their tech.
When the fiscal year ended last September, a report by OpenTheBooks revealed the United States Department of War went on a historic $93.4 billion spending spree. Naturally, the media obsessed over the millions spent on high-end surf and turf. But if you are an investor trying to play the government overspending narrative, food service distribution is a dead end.
The real story is the billions poured into telecommunications, servers, and tech hardware. The military dropped massive contracts on devices from Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Samsung Electronics.
But here is the geopolitical catch: the United States cannot build or maintain this tech infrastructure without rare earths, lithium, graphite, and antimony.
These supply chains are currently dominated by China, creating a glaring national security vulnerability. This is exactly why the DoD is pivoting hard to secure domestic processing, actively partnering with and funding allied projects to dig their way out of the problem.
Whether it is taking massive equity stakes in MP Materials (NYSE: MP) to secure neodymium magnets, funding lithium expansion with Albemarle Corporation (NYSE: ALB), or backing graphite processing with Graphite One Inc. (TSXV: GPH / OTCQX: GPHOF), the capital is flowing underground. Add in strategic grants to ElementUS Minerals for gallium, Perpetua Resources (NASDAQ: PPTA) for munitions-grade antimony, Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC / OTC: LYSDY) for heavy rare earths, and USA Rare Earth, Inc. (NASDAQ: USAR) for magnet manufacturing, and the macroeconomic trend is undeniable.
If you want to understand where the real defense dollars are flowing, you have to look past the dinner plate and into the mine. Smart money is tracking the critical minerals required to build the tech.
Are We Looking at the Most Strategic Domestic Antimony Deposit in the EU?
The scramble for critical defense minerals is intensifying, and Military Metals Corp (CSE: MILI | OTCQB: MILIF) is stepping up to the plate.
The company just released the final drill results from their Trojárová project in Slovakia, revealing an impressive 4.6 meters of 4.1% antimony, including a rich core of 7.0%.
With the historical Soviet-era data now on its way to be potentially validated by modern drilling, all eyes are on the upcoming maiden resource estimate due later this quarter.
The 400-Million-Barrel Band-Aid: Why Emergency Reserves Can't Stop the Oil Rally
Slapping a 400-million-barrel Band-Aid on a severed global supply artery won't stop the bleeding.
The historic emergency reserve release orchestrated by the International Energy Agency (IEA) is being swallowed whole by the total blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. When you abruptly rip 7.5% of the world's daily crude supply offline, math becomes your biggest enemy. We are watching geopolitical disruption overpower fundamental economics, pushing global benchmarks dangerously close to $100.
The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)'s 172-million-barrel drawdown equals roughly 1.4 million barrels per day, a mere drop in a bucket that is leaking 15 million barrels daily. Wall Street already sees the writing on the wall. The commodities desk at Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is rapidly revising targets upward into the $90s, while strategists at Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG) warn of a domino effect that could send prices rocketing toward $150. Down at the consumer level, American Automobile Association (AAA) data shows national gas averages are already spiking to nearly $3.60.
Temporary liquidity simply cannot replace physical barrels transiting the world's busiest energy highway. How much higher does the risk premium need to go before the market prices in a permanent restructuring of Middle Eastern supply lines?
A Golden Speed Bump on the Highway to $6,000
Is gold's recent dip a cause for concern or a textbook consolidation phase?
Despite slipping below $5,100, the underlying mechanics of the precious metals market tell a structurally bullish story that smart money is paying close attention to.
While inflation and rate bets are creating short-term headwinds, institutional appetite remains massive. Strategists at JPMorganChase (NYSE: JPM) and Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) are holding firm on significant upside targets, with Wells Fargo eyeing the $6,100 to $6,300 range by year-end. Analysts at Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) are echoing this exact sentiment, pointing to robust ETF inflows and a shifting dollar narrative.
Moreover, the profitability for the extraction and financing side of the business is currently surging. As Randy Smallwood recently pointed out, companies like Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE: WPM) are leveraging the streaming model to capitalize heavily on high prices while dodging the brutal inflationary costs squeezing traditional mine operators.
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